Wednesday, November 18, 2020

NBA Draft night - Let's Change It Up.

 


The NBA draft is tonight. Here is the order of the top 12 picks in the Draft. 
1. Minnesota Timberwolves
2. Golden State Warriors
3. Charlotte Hornets
4. Chicago Bulls
5. Cleveland Cavaliers
6. Atlanta Hawks
7. Detroit Pistons
8. New York Knicks
9. Washington Wizards
10. Phoenix Suns
The concept for the draft has been around for years. All the teams that don’t make the playoffs are put into a lottery. The team with the worst record has the best chance of getting the top pick, 2nd worse team has the 2nd best chance and so on and so forth. 

I hope you can all see the glaring issue with this. 

That’s right – the Golden State Warriors have the 2nd pick in the draft. That’s right the team that went to 5 straight NBA finals starting in 2015 and won 3 Titles has the 2nd pick in the draft. Despite their record this year the core of the team is still intact, they were just hobbled by injuries.

Their record gave them the 2nd best chance to land the # 1 pick. However, their record this year should not mean they get the 2nd pick. The NBA needs to change up the Draft Lottery. 

The other glaring issue I have with this is that of all the non-playoff teams, Minnesota has the 4th most amount of wins the last 3 years. I get that they had the 2nd least amount of wins this year but still, I don't think they should get the 1st pick. 

So how would I change it up? And who would get the 1st pick?

Here is the process I would propose

Take all the non-playoff teams and calculate their record for the last 3 seasons (including the just completed year). The team with the least number of wins gets the 1st pick, 2nd worse record gets the 2nd pick and so on until all the non-playoff teams are slotted. Then take the records of the playoff teams and rank them from worse record to best record for the concluded season. Worse record gets the next pick after the lottery until that round is slotted. 

 If there are any ties with the non-playoff teams, take the record of the current season and if there is still a tie, look at their records 4 seasons back. 

If there is a tie with the playoff teams, take their record the past 3 seasons to break the tie, if there is still a tie, look at their records 4 seasons back. 

It’s simple. It does not introduce controversy. 

So with that formula here would be the 1st round slots for the draft
table.tableizer-table { font-size: 12px; border: 1px solid #CCC; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; } .tableizer-table td { padding: 4px; margin: 3px; border: 1px solid #CCC; } .tableizer-table th { background-color: #104E8B; color: #FFF; font-weight: bold; }
non-playoff teams    
 Pick    Wins last      3 years
 1New York Knicks67 
 2Chicago Bulls71 
 3Atlanta Hawks73 
 4Phoenix Suns74 
 5Cleveland Cavaliers88 
 6Memphis Grizzlies89 
 7Sacramento Kings97 
 8Charlotte Hornets98 
 9Detroit Pistons100Detroit had a less wins this year - gets tie breaker over Washington
 10Washington Wizards100 
 11Minnesota Timberwolves102 
 12New Orleans Pelicans111 
 13San Antonio Spurs127 
 14Golden State Warriors130 
Playoff teams  Record this year 
 15Orlando Magic33 
 16Brooklyn Nets35Brooklyn had fewer wins (105) than Portland (137) last 3 years so they get the tie breaker
 17Portland Trail Blazers35 
 18Dallas Mavericks43Dallas had fewer wins (100) than Philadelphia (146) last 3 years so they get the tie breaker
 19Philadelphia 76ers43 
 20Miami Heat44Tie Breaker - wins last 3 years Miami (127) Oklahoma City (141) Utah (142) Houston (162)
 21Oklahoma City Thunder44 
 22Utah Jazz44 
 23Houston Rockets44 
 24Indiana Pacers45 
 25Denver Nuggets46 
 26Boston Celtics48 
 27Los Angeles Clippers49 
 28Los Angeles Lakers52 
 29Toronto Raptors53 
 30Milwaukee Bucks56


The Warriors have almost twice as many wins as the Knicks the last 3 years and they get the 2nd pick and the Knicks, which have the worst record the last 3 years, are relegated to the 8th pick. The T-wolves have 35 more wins the last 3 years than the Knicks - 10 more per season and they get the 1st pick. Something has to change. 

This process is straight forward. Simple. Something the NBA Draft Lottery has not been as long as I can remember.

 

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